Popular Post downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Popular Post Share Posted January 17, 2017 We're happy to announce the 1st Annual MYGNRFORUM Guns N' Roses Roulette Tournament! *** NO DEADLINE TO ENTER *** HOW TO PLAY: Non-Club Members are given 100 points to wager on possible GNR scenarios occurring in 2017. Club Members are given 150 points to wager on possible GNR scenarios occurring in 2017. Wager minimum per scenario is 5 points Wager maximum per scenario is 25 points Participants are to either copy and paste the scenarios they want to wager on into their post and indicate how many points they wish to wager on each scenario OR quote all the scenarios in this post and include point amounts besides each scenario they wish to bet on. Odds based on likelihood (as determined by the MYGNRFORUM staff) are provided for each scenario. Points will be awarded to participants who wagered on scenarios multiplied by the stated odds. For example, a wager of 10 points for a scenario with 10/1 odds will receive 100 points. RULES: Participants must bet all 100 points (150 for Club Members) when they submit their wagers. Any points not wagered will be forfeited and not eligible to be wagered at a later date. Please be sure to add up point totals prior to posting your entry. Entries that are found to include more points wagered than allowed will result in any points after 100 (starting from the first scenario and working down the list) will be excluded. Participants are not allowed to change their wagers; once placed they are firm until the contest is over. Posts that include a participants wagers cannot be edited. Posts with wagers contained within that are shown to be edited will be rendered void and the member will be removed from the contest. There is no deadline to enter, however, odds may change over the year. Odds will change should a scenario occur. Those participants who wagered points prior to the first time a scenario occurs will receive points as stipulated by the initial odds. New participants can still wager on that scenario from happening, but will receive no points from previous occurrences. Only subsequent occurrences will yield awarded points. Odds for scenarios that have occurred throughout the year will likely be decreased to reflect the fact that the scenario has already happened and hence more likely to happen again. Players who submit their bets earlier in the year receive better odds; players who submit bets later are at risk of receiving worse odds. Contest ends December 31st, 2017 @ 11:59pm EST. Staff will tally up the wagers of each participant and the person with the most points wins. In the event of a tie between two people, the winner will be determined by whoever reached their score with a higher aggregated odds total. In the event of a tie between more than two people, prizes will be awarded to only three participants. The three participants with the same scores but with the highest odds totals will be declared the winners. There will only be three prizes awarded; prizes will not be shared or divided; only three people can win. In the event of a tie involving more than three people who also have the same odds total, winners will be randomly decided. Evidence in the form of a posted video to ensure impartiality and randomness will be posted in this thread. ELIGIBILITY: One entry per person. Open to any registered member of the forum Not open to guests Discovery of multiple entries by more than one person (via alt-accounts) will result in all entries removed from the contest and the player/member barred from the contest. Prizes will be sent via postal service; eligibility will be revoked and prizes withheld should the provided address by the winner not match the member's IP address. Winners must be able and willing to provide their full name, mailing address, and phone number in order to secure shipment of prizes. CLUB MEMBER BONUS: Club Members are awarded 50 additional points (150 total) to wager on scenarios. To become a Club Member, sign up here! PRIZES: Prizes have yet to be determined, but the monetary value will estimated to be the following: First Place: $250 USD Second Place: $100 USD Third Place: $50 USD Prizes and prize values are subject to change in the event that very special prizes can be procured. These are the minimum values for the prizes we expect to give out. STIPULATIONS No purchase necessary to enter contest. All participants will be treated equally. Judges for this contest will be the MYGNRFORUM staff. I, Downzy - the owner of MYGNROFURM - will have the final say on all matters and disputes. This contest can be canceled at any time without warning. In the event of cancelation, no winners will be announced. SCENARIOS Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) Band ends a show with something other than Paradise City (10/1) Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1) The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play an entire show together (50/1) A former member from 2001 to 2014 joins the band onstage for a song (5/1) Robin Finck joins band for a song (15/1) Tommy Stinson joins band for a song (8/1) Brain joins band for a song (12/1) Buckethead joins band for a song (80/1) DJ Ashba joins band for a song (15/1) Chris Pitman joins band for a song (200/1) Josh Freese joins band for a song (70/1) Beta joins the band for a song (80/1) Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1) Members of Rose Tattoo joins GNR onstage for a song (2/1, EDIT: 1.5/2 Feb 14) Band plays a new song (9/1) New album gets released (10/1) New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) Axl rants against Donald Trump at a show (4/1) An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1) Axl gets a new tattoo (6/1) A GNR concert lasts longer than 3 hours, ten minutes (4/1 prior to July 11, 2/1 after July 12) Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) Band, with Axl, plays a song from TSI (5/1) Band plays a new cover (3/1) - UPDATE: Excludes Black Hole Sun as of May 27, 2017. Band, minus Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (6/1) Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) Band stops playing The Seeker (must be dropped from the set for three consecutive shows) (4/1) Band plays Chinese Democracy in its entirety (100/1) Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) Axl fronts AC/DC at some point in 2017 (12/1) Axl fronts a band other than GNR or AC/DC for a whole show at some point in 2017 (40/1) GNR releases a music video for a new song (12/1) Axl visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (90/1) A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1) A member of GNR management visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (20/1) None of the above happens (50/1) GOOD LUCK! 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AFD5 Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 I'll bet everything on Axl (Dexter) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions @ 90/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 3 minutes ago, AFD5 said: I'll bet everything on Axl (Dexter) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions @ 90/1 You can't bet everything on one answer. The maximum wager is 25 points. There is a minimum of four bets and a maximum of 20 bets if you are not a Club Member. For Club Members, there is a minimum of six bets and a maximum of 30 bets. As you are the first to enter, we'll allow you to hide/remove your entry and do it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 It's worth noting that there's some strategy when it comes to entering the contest. If you want the best odds, enter as soon as possible. But it might be worthwhile to wait and see what the band has in store to get a better feel for the year. Some thought should be given to not only what you think will happen but when you should submit your bets. Good luck everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BorderlineCrazy Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) - 10 points Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) - 15 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 20 points An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1) - 20 points Axl fronts AC/DC at some point in 2017 (12/1) - 20 points Axl visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (90/1) - 5 points A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1) - 10 points 5 minutes ago, downzy said: It's worth noting that there's some strategy when it comes to entering the contest. If you want the best odds, enter as soon as possible. But it might be worthwhile to wait and see what the band has in store to get a better feel for the year. Some thought should be given to not only what you think will happen but when you should submit your bets. Good luck everyone! Didn't feel like waiting By the way, I assume when it says "The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together" it means (it could be) them plus Dizzy and Melissa, right? 'Cause I don't see them leaving the stage, especially Dizzy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueJean Baby Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) Ok, here is mine: Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) 15 points Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1). 5 points Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1). 15 points Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1). 25 points Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1). 10 points An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1). 20 points Axl visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (90/1). 25 points Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1). 15 points A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1). 10 points A member of GNR management visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (20/1). 10 points Well, that's my choices, time I had some good luck so why not take risks... Edited 3/14/2017 upon joining Club ok'd by Downzy Edited March 15, 2017 by BlueJean Baby to add wagered points joined club today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nightrain92 Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) 5 points Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) 10 points Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1) 10 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) 10 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play an entire show together (50/1) 5 points Band plays a new song (9/1) 10 points Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) 15 points Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) 5 points A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1) 5 points Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) 10 points Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) 5 points GNR concert lasts longer than 3 hours, ten minutes (4/1) 5 points An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1) 5 points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KURT19 Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 I'm in! I'll bet 20 points on EACH of the following scenarios: Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play an entire show together (50/1) The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 33 minutes ago, BorderlineCrazy said: By the way, I assume when it says "The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together" it means (it could be) them plus Dizzy and Melissa, right? 'Cause I don't see them leaving the stage, especially Dizzy. Yes... If it were only the original AFD lineup, it would have specified. Thanks for asking as I'm sure others might wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swedish Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) 10 Points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) 25 Points Band plays a new song (9/1) 15 Points New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) 20 Points Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) 10 Points Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) 10 Points Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) 10 Points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scooby845 Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Here is mine Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) - 10 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play an entire show together (50/1) - 20 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 25 points New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) - 25 points Axl fronts AC/DC at some point in 2017 (12/1) - 10 points Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) - 10 points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drakestar Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) - 20 Band ends a show with something other than Paradise City (10/1) -10 Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) -10 Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1) -15 The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 5 Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1) -5 Band plays a new song (9/1) -10 Axl rants against Donald Trump at a show (4/1) -5 A GNR concert lasts longer than 3 hours, ten minutes (4/1) - 15 Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) -20 Band, with Axl, plays a song from TSI (5/1) -5 Band plays a new cover (3/1) -10 Band stops playing The Seeker (must be dropped from the set for three consecutive shows) (4/1) -5 Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) -5 A members of GNR (excluding Axl) visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (50/1) -5 None of the above happens (50/1) -5 This ought to be fun. Hopefully I added it up to 150 correctly . The thought of keeping track of all of this makes my head spin! I would totally understand if it just becomes too much. Edited January 17, 2017 by Drakestar spelling...I suck at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luciusfunk Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Is there a deadline to enter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 26 minutes ago, Drakestar said: The thought of keeping track of all of this makes my head spin! I would totally understand if it just becomes too much. I don't think it should be too difficult. We'll keep a close eye on what goes down and I'm sure people who submitted their wagers will notify if something happens. 4 minutes ago, luciusfunk said: Is there a deadline to enter? No. Contest open all year, but only wagers made before a scenario/event happens will reap the odds as they're currently set. New players can still bet on a scenario or event even if it occurs, but they will not get any points for previous occurrences and odds for subsequent occurrences will be likely be dramatically lower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manfisman Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) - 5 points Izzy joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (8/1) - 10 points Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1) - 5 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 10 points A former member from 2001 to 2014 joins the band onstage for a song (5/1) - 5 points Tommy Stinson joins band for a song (8/1) - 5 points New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) - 10 points An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1) - 5 points A GNR concert lasts longer than 3 hours, ten minutes (4/1) - 5 points Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) - 5 points Band plays Appetite for Destruction in its entirety (40/1) - 20 points Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) - 5 points Axl fronts AC/DC at some point in 2017 (12/1) - 5 points A member of GNR management visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (20/1) - 5 points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stockholm Syndrome Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) I'm in! 1. Axl fronts AC/DC at some point 2017 - 25 points 2. Band stops playing The Seeker - 25 points 3. Steven joins band onstage - 25 points 4. Axl rants against Trump - 25 points 5. Axl and Slash sit down for joint interview - 25 points 6. None of the above happens - 25 points Edited January 18, 2017 by Stockholm Syndrome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AxlRoseCDII Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 * Steven joins band on stage, plays song with Axl, Duff, Slash (2/1) - 5 Points * The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 10 Points * A former member from 2001 to 2014 joins the band onstage for a song (5/1) - 10 Points * Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1) - 5 Points * New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) - 20 Points * Axl rants against Donald Trump at a show (4/1) - 5 Points * Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) - 5 Points * Band, with Axl, plays a song from TSI (5/1) - 10 Points * Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) - 10 Points * A member of GNR management visits MYGNRFORUM and answers questions (20/1) - 5 Points * Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) - 5 Points * Band ends a show with something other than Paradise City (10/1) - 10 Points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DieselDaisy Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) 5 hours ago, downzy said: Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1) 25 Members of Rose Tattoo joins GNR onstage for a song (2/1) 25 Axl rants against Donald Trump at a show (4/1) 25 None of the above happens (50/1) 25 Points in bold at end. PS The odds on a 'new album'' need, ehh, revising! Edited January 17, 2017 by DieselDaisy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stockholm Syndrome Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) 2 minutes ago, DieselDaisy said: Points in bold at end. PS The odds on a 'new album'' need, ehh, revising! Max wager is 25. Edited January 17, 2017 by Stockholm Syndrome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DieselDaisy Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Just now, Stockholm Syndrome said: You can't bet 45!! Max wager is 25. Okay okay. I'll revise it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downzy Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 As this is the first day of the contest we'll allow people to revise. But by Thursday, January 19th, we will not accept any post that are edited. Please read the rules before submitting your wagers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DieselDaisy Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) I just had to chuck 25 on all because I just don't think anything will happen (outside those four). I'd almost have been tempted to put all 100 on ''None of the above happens'' if the rules allowed it haha - but I suppose a Seb Bach guest spot on My Michelle is neither here nor there. PS There should have been a ''play the exact same setlist for the next four years'' option. 1000 points on that one. Edited January 17, 2017 by DieselDaisy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silent Jay Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 (edited) All Or Nothing The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) **25 Axl and Slash sit down for a joint interview (10/1) **25 New live album and/or DVD gets released (8/1) **25 Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) **20 Chris Pitman joins band for a song (200/1) **5 Edited January 17, 2017 by Silent Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stockholm Syndrome Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 2 hours ago, downzy said: As this is the first day of the contest we'll allow people to revise. But by Thursday, January 19th, we will not accept any post that are edited. Please read the rules before submitting your wagers. Does that mean we all can revise up until thursday if we want to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mendez Posted January 18, 2017 Share Posted January 18, 2017 (edited) Band starts a show with something other than It's So Easy or Welcome to the Jungle (5/1) - 15 points The original AFD lineup (Axl, Slash, Duff, Izzy, Steven) play one song together (15/1) - 15 points Band plays a new song (9/1) - 15 points An Axl rant lasts longer than 30 seconds (7/1) - 20 points Band plays a UYI song that was not played in 2016 (3/1) - 15 points Band, including Axl, plays a Velvet Revolver song (9/1) - 10 points Sebastian Bach joins GNR onstage for a song (4/1) - 10 points Did I do this right? And its super cool that you're doing this. Also, what do the numbers in parenthesis mean? I feel like I missed that part Edited January 18, 2017 by Mendez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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